Spanky99 (09-20-2023),Terminator (09-20-2023)
We've got a great shot. Our schedule is probably harder than anyone other than the Mariners but with the AL West teams playing each other so many times it's going to be tough for all of them to leap frog us, and it's downright impossible if we play well.
7-4 and we are guaranteed to get in. 6-5 and it's almost a statistical certainty. Drop the record all the way to 4-7 and we still have about a 60% chance of getting in. It seems weird to think that 4-7 gets us in still but the Mariners and Rangers need to split their games 4-3 AND sweep or win two of their other 3 games for them both to pass us.
That's not impossible but when broken down you can see why our odds are so high right now despite only having a 1 game lead and not holding the tiebreakers.
http://www.playoffstatus.com/mlb/bluejayswhatif.html
G-Snarls (09-20-2023)
Spanky99 (09-20-2023)
Houston plays KC but he first game is against Ragans and we have a tie break on Houston. That's a massive factor. Houston might also have one more loss than both Texas and Seattle by the end of today, another huge factor.
Look at it this way, if today's results hold, and let's say we drop another six of our remaining games. That would mean we only need Houston to lose four of their remaining games, but we would need both Seattle and Texas to lose six of their remaining games. Which do you think is most likely?
Why are the O's obsessed with Fujinami?
Just used him in a 1 run game. Walked two. Gave up the tying run.
The Mike Wilner of BJMB
2022 League of Despair Champion
stupid dumb shit birds
blow it against the Astros
The Mike Wilner of BJMB
2022 League of Despair Champion
Stros, Rangers and Ms all win today, Jays need to keep pace!
Wow Red Suxx got smacked around bad
The Jays began the day as the 2nd WC team, and could end the day out of the playoffs entirely with a loss. That's how close this thing is. Thankfully 7 of the last 10 games for SEA/TEX are against each other, so someone is going to have to lose those games.